Strategic vs. tactical asset allocation … they both sound pretty good as an investment strategy, don’t they? There’s only one problem: I may have left you guessing as to what I’m even talking about. One of the terms is an accurate, if wordy way to describe asset allocation in general. The other is dangerously deceptive.
I won’t keep you in suspense: Strategic asset allocation is the real deal in portfolio management. Tactical asset allocation is a ticking time bomb called market-timing.
To understand the differences between strategic vs. tactical asset allocation, it helps to understand what asset allocation is to begin with.
Even if you’re new to investing, you’ve probably heard about diversification, or not putting all your investment eggs in one basket.
Asset allocation addresses this concern, and more. First, it helps you form a plan for diversifying your eggs (or assets) across multiple baskets (or asset classes). That way, you’re not betting too heavily on any one kind of investment (such as only U.S. large company stocks).
Second, asset allocation makes it easier to manage the given level of risk involved in pursuing your personal financial goals. This is just as important, because every investor must balance the following:
Asset allocation is the act of assigning, investing in, and maintaining target weights across multiple asset classes. Each asset class has exhibited its own risk/reward “personality.” Together, they combine into a total portfolio optimized to reflect your personal goals and risk tolerances.
Let’s illustrate. Say you and your financial advisor have decided to allocate 60% of your investments to stocks and 40% to bonds, typically using mutual funds to do so. You also can allocate these two broad market asset classes across subcategories, for exposure to additional sources of expected returns. For example:
Technically, any thoughtful asset allocation as just described requires solid strategy and tactics to work. In that sense, we don’t usually describe asset allocation as being one or the other.
Unfortunately, the industry did not ask our opinion when it began using the terms anyway.
So, if a financial professional tells you they employ strategic asset allocation strategy, they are typically advocating an approach that aligns with our own. This includes:
That short-term temptation is called market-timing. Unfortunately, this is exactly what someone is suggesting you do if they recommend tactical asset allocation. This may also sometimes be called dynamic asset allocation. No matter what you call it, market-timing is a tactic best left undone.
Tactical asset allocation involves using market-timing to switch back and forth between asset classes. In bear markets, this becomes a flight to “safer” holdings. In bull markets, it means piling into the latest popular picks. During volatile times, you may be doing a bit of both.
Unfortunately, as we’ve just seen, there has long been no pattern to predict in the near-term. Market movements are random. So, at best, the outcome of trying to accurately time them is expected to be random as well.
In fact, there is plenty of evidence suggesting that market-timing tactics usually cause more harm than good. As this 2019 Morningstar report describes:
“Tactical funds are tough to use because managers have wide discretion to change their asset allocations, which can lead to big fluctuations in their levels of risk. It is difficult to set risk/return expectations for a tactical fund and anticipate how it may behave relative to other funds. Ill-defined expectations can lead to bad behavior if investors add to funds after strong returns and take out money following poor returns.”
In other words, market timing may seem appealing, giving you the “freedom” to dodge in and out of markets when they become exciting or scary. But as soon as you do this, you’re abandoning the evidence-based reasons asset allocation is expected to work to begin with.
First, because an asset’s best-performing days often occur without warning during stressful times, market-timers are prone to paying steep prices when they happen to miss out on those stellar days.
By loading up on the hottest asset classes when the market is surging, investors usually pay a premium price for the privilege. When markets plummet, a market-timer abandons their riskiest holdings, often unloading them at a loss. In other words, market-timing ultimately leads to a “buy high, sell low” strategy. This not only runs counter to effective asset allocation, it’s a tactic no sensible investor would intentionally embrace.
Last but not least, market-timing tactics can cause unnecessary confusion.
These and similar planning questions are relatively easy to address with strategic asset allocation. But what if an investor has instead been jumping in and out of hot and cold markets in the absence of any dependable game plan? It becomes much more challenging – and stressful – to decide how to proceed.
In short, tactical asset allocation is essentially the polar opposite of the “steady as she goes” approach most long-term investors would prefer.
At Finley Wealth Advisors, our strategy is to use asset allocation to help our clients with their personal finance while managing the risks involved. Our tactics look something like this:
Define a set of personalized target allocations as described above.
Allocate your assets according to the original asset allocation you’ve defined (as well as tax-efficiently managing them across taxable and tax-sheltered accounts).
Periodically rebalance your portfolio back to its carefully planned target allocations. Or, if your underlying goals have changed, start the process over again, beginning with step 1.
What do you call this? Call it strategic asset allocation. Call it just plain asset allocation. Either way, when considering strategic vs. tactical asset allocation, feel free to call us if we can help you achieve your financial goals. We offer advisory services to help you stay on course through ever-volatile markets, employing the best strategies and tactics for making it so.
Douglas Finley, MS, CFP, AEP, CDFA founded Finley Wealth Advisors in February of 2006, as a Fiduciary Fee-Only Registered Investment Advisor, with the goal of creating a firm that eliminated the conflicts of interest inherent in the financial planner – advisor/client relationship. The firm specializes in wealth management for the middle-class millionaire.
Why Stick with a Globally Diversified Portfolio? Principle 7 in Evidence-Based Investing25 Nov, 2020
Understanding How Markets Work for You: Principle 4 in Evidence-Based Investing17 Nov, 2020
Professor Kenneth French on The Difficulty of Market Timing11 Nov, 2020
Resist Chasing Past Performance: Principle 3 in Evidence-Based Investing29 Oct, 2020
Trying To Outguess the Market Has No Role: Principle 2 in Evidence-Based Investing14 Oct, 2020
Embrace Market Pricing: Principle 1 in Evidence Based Investing20 Sep, 2020
Investors Should Think Twice Before Chasing the Biggest Stocks17 Sep, 2020
Professor Kenneth French on Building Confidence as an Investor